Kuressaare vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
8º
7º
38
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
KUR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
KUR
0 - 2
LEV
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 0
KUR
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 2
TAL
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
TAM
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 1
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 2
TRA
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 2
TRA
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
FLO
8%
18%
75%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |