Kuressaare vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TJK
2 - 2
KUR
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 3
KUR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
KUR
1 - 2
TRA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
KAL
2 - 0
KUR
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
TUL
0 - 2
KUR
57%
22%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
TAL
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
KAL
2 - 0
PAR
86%
11%
4%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 8
LEV
8%
16%
77%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 3
PAI
10%
18%
72%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PAI
2 - 0
PAR
93%
5%
2%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |