Kuressaare vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
10º
8º
14
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
0 - 1
KUR
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
KUR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KUR
2 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
KUR
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
KUR
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
NOM
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 3
TRA
68%
18%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
NOM
37%
23%
39%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 1
PAI
33%
26%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |