Kuressaare vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
8º
55
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 74.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
KUR
7 - 0
FAT
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 2
KUR
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 1
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
5 - 1
KUR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
KUR
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLO
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
NOM
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
VIK
46%
23%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
FLO
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |