Kuressaare vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
10º
8º
58
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 39% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KUR
5 - 0
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
KUR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 0
KUR
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
KUR
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
3 - 0
TAL
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
KAL
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
PAI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
FLO
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
FLO
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 3
TRA
79%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |