Meistriliiga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-0
Kuressaare vs FC Elva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FCE
0 - 1
KUR
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
KUR
2 - 1
PAR
84%
9%
7%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TAM
6 - 1
KUR
69%
19%
13%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FLO
4 - 0
KUR
92%
7%
2%
|
40 | 79 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
KUR
3 - 3
TAL
27%
21%
52%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FCE
0 - 1
KUR
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAA
6 - 1
FCE
77%
14%
8%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCE
4 - 2
RAK
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
KEI
0 - 2
FCE
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FCE
1 - 0
TFS
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +2 |