Kuressaare II vs Tartu Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAH
3 - 2
KUR
31%
21%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 1
FAT
52%
20%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KUR
5 - 2
SJL
76%
13%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KUR
3 - 1
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KUR
2 - 3
PAI
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FAT
6 - 0
FCP
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 1
TJK
28%
20%
52%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WEL
5 - 1
FAT
67%
17%
15%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 1
FAT
52%
20%
28%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LAH
2 - 3
FAT
49%
20%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |