Kumla vs BK Forward analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
24
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 47 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 38 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
34% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
64.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kumla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
KUM
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KUM
2 - 1
SKS
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KON
2 - 1
KUM
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KUM
2 - 0
GAU
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
KUM
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BKF
0 - 2
VFK
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 1
BKF
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BKF
1 - 2
STE
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 2
BKF
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BKF
0 - 1
GRE
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |