Kukësi vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
11º
9º
8
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 1
EGN
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAÇ
2 - 0
KUK
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 1
PAR
19%
27%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ERZ
3 - 3
KUK
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 2
TEU
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
ERZ
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 3
TEU
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ERZ
3 - 3
KUK
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KFS
1 - 0
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 2
TIR
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |