Kukësi vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
10º
10º
32
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 1
PAR
20%
23%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TEU
1 - 0
KUK
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KFS
1 - 0
KUK
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KUK
2 - 3
TIR
22%
26%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 2
KUK
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ERZ
2 - 1
VLZ
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 3
KFS
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 1
ERZ
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 4
DIN
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
EGN
3 - 2
ERZ
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |