Cup Last 16
Global 5-4
Kukësi vs Besëlidhja Lezhë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
KUK
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BES
2 - 4
KUK
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
KUK
1 - 0
BYL
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
APO
0 - 0
KUK
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
KUK
0 - 0
VLZ
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BUT
1 - 0
BES
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BES
2 - 4
KUK
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BES
1 - 1
MAM
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ADA
0 - 0
BES
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BES
3 - 1
POG
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |