Kukësi vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
11º
9º
40
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LUS
5 - 0
KUK
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 1
KRU
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
KUK
6 - 0
KKA
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
POG
2 - 0
KUK
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 0
KOR
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
VOR
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 0
BES
29%
25%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BES
4 - 3
TER
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BES
3 - 0
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
APO
1 - 2
BES
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |