Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Kukësi vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
LAÇ
2 - 0
KUK
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2020 |
KUK
4 - 1
FLA
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
APO
1 - 2
KUK
11%
19%
70%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 3
KUK
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2020 |
KUK
2 - 1
LUF
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
POG
0 - 1
APO
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2020 |
APO
3 - 1
LUS
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
APO
1 - 2
KUK
11%
19%
70%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 0
APO
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
APO
1 - 1
DEV
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |