Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Kukësi vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TEU
2 - 1
KUK
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KUK
1 - 1
KFS
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
APO
1 - 0
KUK
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VLZ
1 - 2
KUK
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KUK
1 - 0
LUS
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
APO
0 - 0
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ELB
1 - 4
APO
48%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
APO
1 - 0
KUK
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
APO
0 - 0
KAM
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
APO
1 - 1
DIN
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |