Kukësi vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
KRU
0 - 3
KUK
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
VLZ
1 - 0
KUK
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LUF
1 - 3
KUK
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SHK
0 - 2
KUK
31%
25%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
KUK
2 - 0
SHK
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
APO
0 - 1
KFS
17%
25%
59%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
KRU
4 - 1
APO
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 1
APO
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
APO
2 - 1
BES
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 0
APO
72%
19%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |