Kuchl vs UFC Maria Alm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuchl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ASK
1 - 1
KUC
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
STR
2 - 0
KUC
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
KUC
0 - 0
SCL
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HAL
2 - 3
KUC
47%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
KUC
4 - 1
WAL
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UMA
2 - 3
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
SCL
1 - 1
UMA
23%
24%
53%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
UMA
0 - 3
HAL
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
WAL
6 - 1
UMA
76%
16%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
UMA
2 - 1
SVA
58%
23%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |