Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
KSV Waregem vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KSV Waregem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
AND
2 - 2
KSV
81%
12%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
KSV
2 - 1
MOL
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
LIE
1 - 2
KSV
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
KSV
2 - 2
BEE
53%
21%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
KSV
1 - 0
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1968 |
MUN
2 - 3
WAR
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
WAR
6 - 0
MUN
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
WAR
2 - 2
SAC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
SAC
3 - 0
WAR
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
MUN
0 - 0
WAR
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |