Europa League Semi-finals
Global 3-7
KSV Waregem vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KSV Waregem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
GEN
3 - 1
KSV
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
KSV
0 - 2
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
4 - 0
KSV
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
BEE
2 - 1
KSV
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
KSV
1 - 0
LIE
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
FCN
3 - 0
KOL
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
0 - 2
MON
46%
23%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
1 - 1
KFC
62%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
4 - 0
KSV
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
KOL
1 - 1
HSV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |