Ksour Essef vs Menzel Bourguiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ksour Essef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
KSE
0 - 0
SBA
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Menzel Bourguiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MBO
1 - 0
COS
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EGS
0 - 1
MBO
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MBO
2 - 1
RAD
48%
23%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MBO
2 - 3
ESH
46%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
MBO
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |