Lierse Kempenzonen vs Jong Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
8º
13
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 68 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 59 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 47 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 31 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
16º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 68.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse Kempenzonen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
KSK
2 - 2
KSC
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAT
3 - 3
KSK
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KSK
0 - 2
STR
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
KSK
1 - 2
LOU
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BRG
3 - 1
KSK
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 2
BRG
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KSC
4 - 0
KRC
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KRC
0 - 4
LOM
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 0
KRC
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 0
RSC
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |