Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
KSK Beveren vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KSK Beveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
KSK
1 - 1
KSV
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
KSK
5 - 1
LOK
38%
25%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
RWD
3 - 1
KSK
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
3 - 1
KSK
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 3
KSK
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
LOK
1 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BRU
26%
24%
51%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
5 - 0
LIE
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 3
KSK
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |