Wierzyca Pelplin vs Polonia Środa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wierzyca Pelplin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
PEL
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PEL
0 - 3
SOK
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SKO
2 - 1
PEL
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
PEL
3 - 2
KOT
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | +5 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
USK
0 - 0
PEL
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PSR
3 - 3
CEN
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WDA
0 - 3
PSR
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
PSR
5 - 2
GKP
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EGP
0 - 0
PSR
8%
18%
74%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PSR
1 - 1
TKP
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |