Ruch Chorzów vs Górnik Łęczna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
6º
32
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 40 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
67% | 44% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 54% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PLO
3 - 2
RCH
51%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 1
RCH
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
RCH
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
3 - 1
RCH
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RCH
1 - 1
POG
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Górnik Łęczna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 2
GOR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZNI
2 - 3
GOR
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LKS
1 - 1
GOR
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 1
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |