Champions League Last 16
Global 4-1
Ruch Chorzów vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
GKS
0 - 2
RCH
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1974 |
RCH
3 - 1
SZO
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
POG
0 - 1
RCH
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
RCH
2 - 1
HVI
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
RCH
2 - 0
WAR
61%
22%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
FEN
2 - 2
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
KAY
0 - 3
FEN
26%
32%
42%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
FEN
1 - 1
ADA
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
FEN
2 - 0
JEU
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
ALT
1 - 2
FEN
34%
32%
34%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |