Europa League 1/16
Global 3-1
Ruch Chorzów vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
RCH
3 - 2
GWA
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
WUP
5 - 4
RCH
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
GÓR
2 - 2
RCH
48%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
RCH
4 - 1
WUP
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
RCH
2 - 0
LKS
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
LOK
2 - 0
CZJ
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
CZJ
6 - 1
CHE
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
COT
0 - 1
CZJ
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
MIK
0 - 3
CZJ
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
CZJ
3 - 0
MIK
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |