Europa League Last 16
Global 5-2
Ruch Chorzów vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
WAR
0 - 0
RCH
52%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1973 |
RCH
3 - 0
ODR
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
BUD
2 - 0
RCH
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
RCH
1 - 0
WIS
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
ZAG
1 - 1
RCH
39%
30%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
BUD
2 - 0
RCH
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
BUD
3 - 2
LPL
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
LPL
3 - 4
BUD
65%
17%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
BUD
5 - 2
KOS
58%
20%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
KOS
1 - 0
BUD
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |