Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Górnik Zabrze vs FC Bălți analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
1 - 3
GKS
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
2 - 1
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
HKS
4 - 0
GÓR
61%
21%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
KAR
3 - 1
GÓR
31%
24%
46%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
GÓR
0 - 0
TRI
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Bălți
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ZAR
4 - 1
FCV
61%
21%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SHF
5 - 1
ZAR
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
ZIM
0 - 3
ZAR
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCS
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
FCV
1 - 4
ZAR
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |