Górnik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
14º
8º
8
11º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 56 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 55 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 52 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 41 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 40 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 38 |
18º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
0 - 1
RAD
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
3 - 0
GKS
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
GÓR
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
4 - 2
PUS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
2 - 3
GDA
43%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
ZAL
20%
21%
60%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAK
5 - 1
ZAL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 0
ZAL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
GKS
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PGL
1 - 0
ZAL
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |