Górnik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
14º
8º
16
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 55 |
1º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 54 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 53 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 53 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 50 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 48 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 45 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 39 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 38 |
18º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
6.5% | 15% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
12.5% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 2
GÓR
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 0
GÓR
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GÓR
1 - 0
FKK
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 3
GÓR
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
GÓR
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 2
POG
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POG
3 - 0
KOR
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
POG
2 - 2
WRR
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 7 | 71 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
POG
3 - 0
KOT
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 2
POG
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |