Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
14º
7º
41
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 29 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 40.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8.5% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 4
GÓR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GÓR
1 - 0
PGL
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
GÓR
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GÓR
0 - 2
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WLO
0 - 2
GÓR
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
PGL
0 - 0
LPO
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 0
GKS
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LPO
5 - 2
WAR
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 0
LPO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 1
RAD
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |