Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
17º
6º
61
3º
17º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SLA
4 - 1
GÓR
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GÓR
2 - 3
ZAL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
RAK
6 - 0
GÓR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 2
GÓR
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GÓR
3 - 3
PGL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
HBS
1 - 1
LPO
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 0
RAD
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LPO
0 - 0
HBS
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LPO
0 - 0
WAR
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 1
LPO
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |