Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
14º
7º
28
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 52 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 52 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 29 |
18º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
11.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
GÓR
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GÓR
0 - 2
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WLO
0 - 2
GÓR
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GÓR
3 - 1
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GÓR
0 - 1
ZAL
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 3
MOT
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
PGL
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 3
PGL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
PGL
3 - 3
GDA
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 2
PGL
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |