Champions League 1/16
Global 4-4
Górnik Zabrze vs FK Dukla Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
DUK
4 - 1
GÓR
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
DUK
4 - 1
GÓR
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
GÓR
2 - 0
DUK
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
AUS
1 - 2
GÓR
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
AUS
1 - 0
GÓR
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
DUK
4 - 1
GÓR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1964 |
BVB
1 - 3
DUK
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
DUK
0 - 4
BVB
41%
23%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
DUK
4 - 1
GÓR
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
GÓR
2 - 0
DUK
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |