Champions League Last 16
Global 3-4
Górnik Zabrze vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1966 |
CSK
4 - 0
GÓR
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
GÓR
3 - 1
VOW
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
VOW
2 - 1
GÓR
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
GÓR
2 - 1
VOW
35%
23%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
GÓR
1 - 2
SPA
49%
22%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
CSK
0 - 0
LPL
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 1
CSK
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1966 |
CSK
4 - 0
GÓR
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
CSK
3 - 0
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
SPS
1 - 1
CSK
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |