Krylia Sovetov vs Akhmat Grozny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
16º
10º
13
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 42% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 2
CSK
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 0
KRS
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 2
KRA
20%
24%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
KRS
3 - 6
DIN
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
KRS
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
ZEN
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 0
TER
78%
14%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TER
0 - 2
OLY
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 3
TER
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 0
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |