Krylia Sovetov vs Saturn Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 1
KRS
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FCC
2 - 1
KRS
13%
22%
66%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
KRS
1 - 2
FCR
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TER
3 - 2
KRS
34%
29%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
KRS
1 - 1
FKM
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SAT
4 - 0
FCR
48%
29%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
VLA
3 - 0
SAT
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
KHI
1 - 0
SAT
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SAT
2 - 0
LOK
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
PER
0 - 2
SAT
48%
29%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |