Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
16º
11º
5
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 66 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 62 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 57 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 54 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 37 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 33 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 33 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 27 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 21 |
16º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
KRS
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
DMK
1 - 0
KRS
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 3
FCR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
0 - 4
ZEN
21%
25%
55%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
2 - 2
KRS
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 0
KRA
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 0
FAK
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 2
AKT
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
FAK
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 2
FCR
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |