UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 4-0
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2002 |
ROT
2 - 0
KRS
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2002 |
KRS
4 - 0
ANZ
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
KRS
1 - 0
LOK
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
YAR
4 - 2
KRS
44%
27%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
KRS
3 - 2
FCR
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
DIN
1 - 0
ZAL
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DIN
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
VEN
2 - 0
DIN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
FCS
2 - 1
DIN
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
DIN
2 - 0
FKR
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | +1 |