Kropp vs Todesfelde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kropp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 8
KRO
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 2
KRO
12%
20%
68%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KRO
0 - 0
HAG
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
6 - 0
KRO
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
KRO
1 - 1
DOR
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Todesfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
5 - 0
TOD
83%
11%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOD
4 - 2
DOR
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 0
TOD
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOD
1 - 3
LUB
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
TOD
13%
18%
69%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |