Kropp vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kropp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
6 - 0
KRO
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
KRO
1 - 1
DOR
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 1
KRO
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
KRO
2 - 2
LUB
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
KRO
13%
19%
69%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
3 - 2
HEI
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
2 - 1
TUR
57%
21%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 0
HAG
89%
8%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
4 - 0
DOR
56%
22%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 0
HAG
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |