NK Krka vs Rudar Velenje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
11º
10º
13
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 0
BEL
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
KRK
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 0
KRK
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 0
ILI
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
KRK
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
BIL
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 1
RUD
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 3
RUD
37%
22%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 0
DRA
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 1
RUD
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |