NK Krka vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
13º
10º
10
4º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 50 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 40 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 37 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 36 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 27 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKI
1 - 5
KRK
54%
21%
25%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEK
1 - 3
KRK
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 2
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 1
NSV
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 5
KRK
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SPJ
0 - 8
TOL
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
BIL
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TAS
4 - 1
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
DRA
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NKN
0 - 2
TOL
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +2 |