NK Krka vs Ilirija 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
3 - 4
KRK
20%
20%
61%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
RAD
1 - 1
KRK
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
KRK
3 - 2
FUZ
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
KRA
1 - 2
KRK
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
KRK
2 - 1
NSM
29%
24%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
ILI
1 - 3
BRA
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NKD
2 - 0
ILI
59%
21%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ILI
4 - 2
DEK
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRD
1 - 2
ILI
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ILI
2 - 1
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |