NK Krka vs Bistrica iz Slovenske analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
11º
10º
25
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 0
KRK
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KRK
3 - 0
RUD
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 0
BEL
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
KRK
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 0
KRK
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bistrica iz Slovenske
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 1
BIL
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 0
BIS
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
3 - 2
DRA
57%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NSV
0 - 2
BIS
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
APA
0 - 5
BIS
6%
11%
84%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |