Kristianstad FC vs IFK Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
2º
23
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 35 |
6º
|
49.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 29 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 27 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 19 |
14º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 39% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kristianstad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRI
2 - 2
TRE
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
KRI
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 2
KRI
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAL
4 - 2
KRI
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KRI
2 - 0
IFK
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
IFK Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ORG
6%
15%
79%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BER
4 - 3
IFK
37%
24%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 4
BER
54%
21%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FBK
4 - 0
BER
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
SIM
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |