Jong Genk vs RWD Molenbeek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
11º
10º
10
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
8 | 61 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
10 | 58 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 55 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 51 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 42 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 37 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 23 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 51% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 45% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WAA
3 - 2
KRC
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 2
FBO
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KRC
4 - 1
LIE
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SER
0 - 2
KRC
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KRC
4 - 0
OHL
74%
15%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
RWD Molenbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RWD
3 - 0
KSK
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RWD
5 - 0
AYW
88%
10%
3%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RWD
2 - 1
EUP
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOM
0 - 2
RWD
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RWD
1 - 1
PAT
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |