Kray vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
KRA
4 - 1
DUS
26%
24%
51%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
KFC
5 - 2
KRA
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
KRA
1 - 3
GRA
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRO
2 - 3
KRA
52%
23%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
KRA
2 - 1
KAP
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 3
KFI
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
VFB
3 - 1
VEL
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 0
HIL
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DUS
3 - 1
VEL
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
DUS
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |