Kray vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
40.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SWE
4 - 2
KRA
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
KRA
0 - 2
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 2
KRA
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
KRA
3 - 1
DUS
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MEE
2 - 0
KRA
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SFB
4 - 3
SFN
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SWE
5 - 2
SFB
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCB
2 - 1
SFB
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SFB
2 - 2
TDV
70%
15%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 2
SFB
21%
19%
59%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |