Kray vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
62.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
KRA
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 1
KRA
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
KRA
0 - 5
VER
22%
26%
53%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
KRA
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
KRA
0 - 0
ROT
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
KÖL
0 - 2
BAY
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
KÖL
4 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HUL
0 - 2
KÖL
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ROT
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KÖL
3 - 1
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |