Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-1
KR Reykjavík vs AE Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KR Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
KRR
3 - 4
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
KFV
0 - 2
KRR
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
STJ
1 - 1
KRR
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
KRR
3 - 2
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
KRR
2 - 0
GRI
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AE Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
PAO
1 - 0
LAR
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LAR
0 - 0
AEK
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
LAR
0 - 1
PAN
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAN
3 - 1
LAR
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
LAR
0 - 2
PAO
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -2 |